Böll EU Newsletter 5/2024 - What comes after the election? Newsletter Today, citizens will start heading to the polls to vote for the next European Parliament. The outcome will in part determine the political correlation of forces in Europe over the next five years. If current projections hold true, we will not only witness a rightward shift within the EP but also more fragmentation. Instead of seven political groups, key officials in the parliament administration expect there to be nine. These tendencies will affect political majorities. By Roderick Kefferpütz
Women’s representation in Greek media in the run up to the 2024 European Parliament elections Analysis The issue of women’s visibility in the media is key to understanding and addressing gender inequality at the social and political levels. Mass media, after all, reach the majority of citizens, contribute in shaping their views and thus affect electoral behaviour. In this article you can read the preliminary findings from the research project "Gender (in)equality in Greek media & politics" (GenderINmediaGR) by the National Centre for Social Research (EKKE), with the support of Heinrich Böll Foundation. By Giorgos Katsambekis , Sophia Kanaouti and Manina Kakepaki
Poland's political marathon: navigating the road to the 2024 EU elections Analysis Poland is in the midst of a political marathon, having already experienced groundbreaking parliamentary and local elections. Former Prime Minister Donald Tusk's coalition has returned to power, but the nation remains politically divided. The upcoming EU elections, featuring high-ranking ministers, set the stage to the presidential elections in 2025. By Joanna Maria Stolarek and Agata Gontarczyk
A newcomer against the Orbán regime Analysis The Hungarian political scene has never been more turbulent in the past 14 years. Since the start of the clemency scandal in early February, Fidesz has been unable to control the political narrative for months, despite its dominant position in power. The campaign leading up to the local and the European Parliament (EP) elections has been dominated by a new challenger, Péter Magyar, and his Respect and Freedom Party (Tisza) so far, although in recent weeks Fidesz has found its footing again. By Róbert László and Richárd Demény
Fuelling change: Europe's battle against Russian fossil fuels Analysis As Europe approaches its parliamentary elections on 6-9 June 2024 and the war in Ukraine shows no sign of slowing, a pressing issue demands attention: the EU's continuing active participation in, and facilitation of, Russia's fossil fuel shipping and exports. This article delves into critical analysis and proposes strategies for reducing dependency on, and support of, the Russian fossil fuel industry, supported by data and statistics highlighting the impact of these exports on the Russian economy, the war in Ukraine and the global climate crisis. By Razom We Stand
Countering online risks in a ‘Super Election Year’: Why the EU and Africa need each other Analysis The European Union should work together with partners in Africa to secure electoral systems against cyberattacks and to prevent the spread of false and misleading information. This is also in line with European interests and values. By Sabine Muscat and Cayley Clifford
3 Questions on what a positive digital future could look like to Payal Arora 3 Questions In this super election year, concerns loom over how artificial intelligence might impact elections worldwide. Technology’s advances, coupled with the potential misuse of bad actors, are a real threat. However, there are intriguing contrasts in attitudes towards AI and the use of technology between Europe and the Global South. Prof. Dr. Payal Arora, Chair of Inclusive AI Cultures at the Department of Media & Culture Studies at Utrecht University, challenges prevailing narratives of techno-pessimism. She offers a nuanced perspective on the transformative potential of technology within inclusive frameworks. Zora Siebert asked her three key questions. By Zora Siebert and Payal Arora
India's 2024 election: democracy in action Dossier India, the world's largest democracy, is holding its general elections from 19 April to 4 June 2024. As Prime Minister Narendra Modi seeks his third consecutive term, the ballot reflects the complex realities of the South Asian giant and its political landscape. This dossier by the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung New Delhi office offers concise analyses of select issues surrounding the election, providing perspectives on the country's current political climate. By Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung Regional Office - New Delhi
South Korea’s general elections: restoring balance with regard to an out-of-touch president Analysis On 10 April 2024, South Korea held its 22nd general election, which marked the highest ever turnout for a parliamentary election. Voters used the election as an opportunity to issue a verdict on the first two years of the right-wing conservative President Yoon Suk-yeol’s five-year term. Giving the opposition one of the biggest parliamentary majorities in recent decades, voters pushed the president, who has inappropriately exercised his presidential veto power on bills passed by the parliament, to the verge of being a lame duck. This article analyses the driving forces behind these results, suggests implications for Yoon’s foreign policy and explains the challenges that the election results have created for progressives in South Korea. By Min Joung Park
Will Prabowo’s presidency chart a brighter future for EU–Indonesia relations? Analysis On 14 February 2024, more than 164 million people cast their votes in Indonesia’s presidential election, making it the largest single-day election in the world. Frontrunner Prabowo Subianto, Indonesia’s defence minister, won by a landslide. This article analyses what Prabowo’s victory means for Indonesia, as well as EU–Indonesia relations, by looking at the current state of the relations and Prabowo’s recent nationalistic discourse. By Hans Nicholas Jong